Climate, peace and security assessment: Mali – How climate and environmental change compound conflict and inequality

Nagarajan, Chitra; Lisa Binder, Lucas Destrijcker, Sidney Michelini, Lukas Rüttinger, Bokar Sangaré, Barbora Šedová, Janani Vivekananda and Rania Zaatour 2022: Climate, peace and security assessment: Mali. How climate and environmental change compound conflict and inequality. Berlin: adelphi research gGmbH.

Mali is experiencing both rising insecurity and significant climate variability. Violent conflicts take place especially in Gao, Kidal, Timbuktu, Mopti, Ségou, and, increasingly, in southern and western regions. Over the past decades, the country has been exposed to substantial inter-annual and decadal rainfall variability as well as increasing frequency and intensity of extreme weather events. In the future, climate change impacts will put significant additional pressure on natural resource-based livelihoods, gradually limiting people’s ability to adapt.

“Climate, peace and security assessment: Mali” is the first full-length national case study using the Weathering Risk methodology, combining state-of-the-art climate impacts data with on-the-ground conflict analysis. It provides a ground-breaking level of detail into a country long seen as a hotspot for compound climate change and conflict risks.

You can find the complete study behind the download button, and an executive summary here.